Independent football research and transparent quantitative models built from the data underneath the game. Explore fantasy and player analysis in EdgeLine Insights, or follow the frozen prediction models and their public record.
Fantasy football, player opportunity, scheme and NFL research built from play-by-play data. The goal is simple: take a football question and show what the underlying usage and efficiency actually say.
Frozen spread and moneyline models compared against the market, with watchlists, locked picks, timestamps and a permanent historical record.
Nearly half of Herbert's passes have traveled 10+ yards downfield through two weeks. The profile looks nothing like his 2021 breakout — or McDaniel's best Miami offense.
From Texas Tech and the Kansas handshake to Hue Jackson, Steve Wilks and Cleveland, Baker has spent a career turning grudges into fuel.
Kincaid has 12 catches for 225 yards through two games. Since 2015, every tight end to open with 10+ catches and 175+ yards finished TE5 or better.
Allen took 39.5% of Buffalo's inside-the-5 rushes in 2025 and converted 64.7% into touchdowns. The goal-line data explains the fantasy frustration — and why Buffalo keeps using him.
When the insurance was available, it inherited a comparable-or-larger rushing role 67.6% of the time — but season-long opportunity cost made the overall decision much closer.