2026 • Week 1

49ers at Rams

Matchup Preview Historical baseline: 2025 regular season
Top tier Middle tier Lower tier NQ / N/A
GAME PREVIEW

An NFC West rivalry heads Down Under.

San Francisco and Los Angeles open the 2026 season on unfamiliar ground: Melbourne Cricket Ground, site of the NFL's first regular-season game in Australia. The setting is new, but the matchup is not. These division rivals know each other well, and both arrive with enough offensive firepower to make the opener one of Week 1's most interesting games.

The 2025 numbers give Los Angeles the more dominant overall offensive profile. The Rams finished first in scoring, total offense and yards per play, while Matthew Stafford produced one of the league's most efficient and aggressive passing seasons. San Francisco counters with Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and a rebuilt receiver room that now includes Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr.

Below, we break the matchup down position by position using 2025 performance as the statistical baseline — where each team was strongest, where the clearest edges appear, and which numbers could matter most in Melbourne.

Team Offense

2025 regular season
49ersMetricRams
25.7#10Points / Game30.5#1
351.6#8Yards / Game394.6#1
5.50#11Yards / Play6.18#1
2.82#8Offensive TDs / Game3.71#1
30:47#10Time of Possession30:38#11
49.8%#13rd-Down Conversion %39.6%#17
13.9%#2Three-and-Out Rate ↓14.7%#3
66.2%#4Red-Zone TD %64.0%#7
1.35#23Turnovers / Game ↓0.88#5
What to Watch

Team Defense

2025 regular season
49ersMetricRams
4.12#29DST Fantasy PPG8.00#5
21.8#13Points Allowed / Game ↓20.4#10
340.4#20Yards Allowed / Game ↓327.9#17
5.60#24Yards / Play Allowed ↓5.18#14
2.47#19TDs Allowed / Game ↓2.00#7
40.1%#19Opponent 3rd-Down % ↓36.3%#7
18.8%#17Three-and-Out Rate Forced24.2%#5
54.9%#12Opponent Red-Zone TD % ↓47.1%#4
0.88#25Takeaways / Game1.53#5
1.18#32Sacks / Game2.76#7
3.3%#32Sack Rate7.3%#10
3.35#31QB Hits / Game6.76#2
9.4%#32QB Hit Rate18.0%#5
What to Watch

Quarterback

2025 regular season • 250+ attempts to qualify
Brock Purdy
Metric
Matthew Stafford
TRADITIONAL STATS
287Pass Attempts597
197Completions388
2167Passing Yards4707
20Passing TDs46
10Interceptions8
33Rush Attempts29
147Rushing Yards1
3#9Rushing TDs0#24
EFFICIENCY
68.6%#3Completion %65.0%#17
7.55#9Yards / Attempt7.88#6
99.5#8Passer Rating109.2#2
7.0%#2TD Rate7.7%#1
3.5%#30INT Rate ↓1.3%#5
70.5%#23rd-Down Completion %51.1%#31
56.1%#13rd-Down Conversion %39.6%#6
7.52#20Air Yards / Attempt9.26#1
QB RUSHING
18#20Scrambles7#29
5.7%#12Scramble Rate1.1%#29
7.28#13Yards / Scramble3.14#32
11#17Designed Runs5#26
1.82#18Yards / Designed Run0.00#30
5#1810+ Yard QB Runs0#29
1#1320+ Yard QB Runs0#21
3#9Rush TDs0#24
DEEP PASSING — 20+ AIR YARDS
35#26Deep Attempts90#1
12.2%#14Deep Attempt Rate15.1%#1
21#12Deep Completions39#1
60.0%#1Deep Completion %43.3%#8
579#16Deep Passing Yards1257#1
16.54#2Deep Yards / Attempt13.97#7
3#19Deep TDs10#2
4#27Deep INTs ↓1#6
PROTECTION
3.7%#2Sack Rate ↓3.7%#3
12.4%#10QB Hit Rate ↓12.4%#11
FANTASY PRODUCTION
19.93#7Standard PPG20.96#2
19.93#7Half-PPR PPG20.96#2
19.93#7PPR PPG20.96#2
What to Watch

Brock Purdy

Matthew Stafford

Running Backs

2025 regular season • 100+ carries to qualify
Christian McCaffrey
Jordan James
NQ
Metric
Kyren Williams
Blake Corum
TRADITIONAL STATS
311#2N/AN/ARush Attempts259#9145#35
1202#8N/AN/ARushing Yards1252#6746#27
10#8N/AN/ARushing TDs10#86#23
102#1N/AN/AReceptions36#148#48
904#1N/AN/AReceiving Yards281#2036#48
7#1N/AN/AReceiving TDs3#90#32
VOLUME / ROLE
18.29#2N/AN/ACarries / Game15.24#148.53#43
64.7%#3N/AN/ARush Share55.7%#1031.2%#36
24.29#1N/AN/ATouches / Game17.35#179.00#46
123.9#2N/AN/ATotal Yards / Game90.2#846.0#42
FANTASY PRODUCTION
18.39#2N/AN/AStandard PPG13.37#96.72#41
21.39#1N/AN/AHalf-PPR PPG14.43#96.95#44
24.39#1N/AN/APPR PPG15.49#117.19#45
RUSHING EFFICIENCY
3.86#39N/AN/AYards / Carry4.83#115.14#4
70.7#11N/AN/ARush Yards / Game73.7#843.9#35
22.8%#29N/AN/ARush First-Down %28.6%#430.3%#2
EXPLOSIVENESS
27#9N/AN/A10+ Yard Runs26#1223#19
8.7%#37N/AN/A10+ Yard Run Rate10.0%#2415.9%#2
3#26N/AN/A20+ Yard Runs6#115#17
1.0%#41N/AN/A20+ Yard Run Rate2.3%#233.5%#6
41#27N/AN/ALongest Run34#3348#23
RECEIVING
7.59#1N/AN/ATargets / Game2.94#210.82#47
6.00#1N/AN/AReceptions / Game2.12#250.47#48
79.1%#22N/AN/ACatch %72.0%#3857.1%#49
53.2#1N/AN/AReceiving Yards / Game16.5#262.1#49
8.86#9N/AN/AYards / Reception7.81#244.50#46
6.86#39N/AN/AYAC / Reception4.31#494.62#48
7#1N/AN/AReceiving TDs3#90#32
RED ZONE / GOAL LINE
75#1N/AN/ARed-Zone Carries53#727#31
75.0%#1N/AN/ARed-Zone Carry Share58.9%#730.0%#35
37#3N/AN/AInside-10 Carries30#516#27
20#3N/AN/AInside-5 Carries18#713#15
76.9%#3N/AN/AInside-5 Carry Share52.9%#1238.2%#24
10#8N/AN/ARushing TDs10#86#23
BALL SECURITY
2#28N/AN/AFumbles ↓2#280#1
0#1N/AN/AFumbles Lost ↓2#380#1
0.000#21N/AN/AFumbles / Touch ↓0.010#310.000#1
What to Watch

San Francisco 49ers

Los Angeles Rams

Wide Receivers

2025 regular season • 50+ targets to qualify
Deebo Samuel Sr.
2025: WAS
Mike Evans
2025: TB
De'Zhaun Stribling
NQ
Metric
Puka Nacua
Davante Adams
Jordan Whittington
NQ
TRADITIONAL STATS
100#2762#60N/AN/ATargets166#3114#1725NQ
72#1830#76N/AN/AReceptions129#160#2818NQ
727#31368#71N/AN/AReceiving Yards1715#2789#27171NQ
5#303#49N/AN/AReceiving TDs10#414#10NQ
VOLUME / ROLE
6.25#337.75#16N/AN/ATargets / Game10.38#28.14#121.92NQ
22.9%#1311.4%#64N/AN/ATarget Share28.6%#619.6%#264.3%NQ
4.50#213.75#36N/AN/AReceptions / Game8.06#14.29#241.38NQ
45.4#4046.0#38N/AN/AReceiving Yards / Game107.2#156.4#3013.2NQ
FANTASY PRODUCTION
7.26#326.85#37N/AN/AStandard PPG15.38#111.64#61.41NQ
9.51#328.73#37N/AN/AHalf-PPR PPG19.41#113.78#82.10NQ
11.76#3010.60#38N/AN/APPR PPG23.44#115.92#92.79NQ
EFFICIENCY
72.0%#948.4%#74N/AN/ACatch %77.7%#352.6%#7272.0%NQ
7.27#515.94#71N/AN/AYards / Target10.33#86.92#586.84NQ
10.10#6812.27#43N/AN/AYards / Reception13.29#3213.15#359.50NQ
44.4%#7176.7%#11N/AN/AReceiving First-Down %62.0%#3685.0%#338.9%NQ
DEPTH / USAGE
5.27#7613.29#10N/AN/AAverage Depth of Target9.43#5612.67#186.84NQ
32.9#74103.0#7N/AN/AAir Yards / Game97.9#11103.1#613.2NQ
14.1%#6619.0%#54N/AN/AAir-Yard Share29.0%#2426.8%#323.2%NQ
6#6714#41N/AN/ADeep Targets (20+)23#721#173NQ
6.0%#7722.6%#16N/AN/ADeep Target Rate13.9%#5418.4%#2912.0%NQ
EXPLOSIVENESS
10#345#63N/AN/A20+ Yard Receptions27#114#172NQ
13.9%#5616.7%#45N/AN/A20+ Reception Rate20.9%#3023.3%#1911.1%NQ
6.47#61.23#79N/AN/AYAC / Reception5.16#151.95#784.89NQ
SCORING OPPORTUNITY
13#309#50N/AN/ARed-Zone Targets17#1332#21NQ
25.5%#811.8%#54N/AN/ARed-Zone Target Share15.6%#4729.4%#20.9%NQ
8#145#40N/AN/AInside-10 Targets10#823#10NQ
5#303#49N/AN/AReceiving TDs10#414#10NQ
What to Watch

San Francisco 49ers

Los Angeles Rams

Tight Ends

2025 regular season • 30+ targets to qualify
George Kittle
Luke Farrell
NQ
Metric
Colby Parkinson
Tyler Higbee
TRADITIONAL STATS
69#1914NQTargets56#2536#43
57#1411NQReceptions43#2625#45
628#1285NQReceiving Yards408#29281#43
7#52NQReceiving TDs8#33#24
VOLUME / ROLE
6.27#81.56NQTargets / Game4.00#314.00#31
12.4%#232.5%NQTarget Share9.6%#316.2%#47
5.18#31.22NQReceptions / Game3.07#262.78#34
57.1#39.4NQReceiving Yards / Game29.1#3031.2#27
FANTASY PRODUCTION
9.50#32.06NQStandard PPG6.20#165.12#25
12.09#32.67NQHalf-PPR PPG7.74#206.51#25
14.68#23.28NQPPR PPG9.27#217.90#26
EFFICIENCY
82.6%#378.6%NQCatch %76.8%#1169.4%#35
9.10#66.07NQYards / Target7.29#247.81#20
11.02#197.73NQYards / Reception9.49#3311.24#17
66.7%#754.5%NQReceiving First-Down %55.8%#1968.0%#5
DEPTH / USAGE
6.67#182.93NQAverage Depth of Target4.43#426.06#24
41.8#94.6NQAir Yards / Game17.7#4124.2#29
11.1%#181.0%NQAir-Yard Share4.6%#454.0%#46
4#180NQDeep Targets (20+)3#273#27
5.8%#230.0%NQDeep Target Rate5.4%#278.3%#13
EXPLOSIVENESS
9#90NQ20+ Yard Receptions4#296#18
15.8%#130.0%NQ20+ Reception Rate9.3%#3124.0%#3
4.42#334.73NQYAC / Reception6.30#75.60#14
SCORING OPPORTUNITY
13#124NQRed-Zone Targets22#48#30
14.4%#244.4%NQRed-Zone Target Share20.2%#117.3%#42
5#182NQInside-10 Targets10#44#24
7#52NQReceiving TDs8#33#24
What to Watch

San Francisco 49ers

Los Angeles Rams

Kickers

2025 regular season • 10+ FG attempts to qualify
Eddy Pineiro
Metric
Harrison Mevis
KICKING
10.00#6Fantasy PPG9.11#12
96.5%#1FG %92.3%#7
59#9Long52#33
6#1250+ FGs Made1#31
85.7%#750+ FG %100.0%#1
What to Watch
Methodology: Team and player statistics use 2025 NFL regular-season play-by-play data. Player qualification thresholds: QB 250+ attempts, RB 100+ carries, WR 50+ targets, TE 30+ targets, K 10+ FG attempts. Current 2026 rosters determine which players appear in the matchup. When a player changed teams, historical shares are calculated against the team he played for in 2025. DST fantasy scoring: sack 1, INT 2, fumble recovery 2, safety 2, blocked kick 2, DST TD 6, plus points-allowed buckets based on opponent final score. Kicker fantasy scoring: XP 1; made FG under 40 yards 3, 40–49 yards 4, 50+ yards 5. Unsupported metrics are not estimated.