2026 • Week 1

Patriots at Seahawks

Matchup Preview Historical baseline: 2025 regular season
Top tier Middle tier Lower tier NQ / N/A
GAME PREVIEW

The NFL season opens with a heavyweight rematch.

Seven months after meeting on football’s biggest stage, New England and Seattle are back across from each other — this time at Lumen Field, with a new season beginning and another measuring-stick game waiting immediately.

Both teams enter 2026 with championship expectations, but plenty has changed since their last meeting. Rosters have shifted, roles have changed and a full offseason has given both sides a chance to adjust. What hasn’t changed is the talent. From Drake Maye and New England’s passing attack to Seattle’s defense and explosive playmakers, there are matchup advantages worth watching all over the field.

Below, we break the game down position by position using 2025 performance as the statistical baseline — where each team was strongest, where the edges may exist, and what could ultimately decide the opener.

Team Offense

2025 regular season
PatriotsMetricSeahawks
28.8#2Points / Game28.4#3
379.7#3Yards / Game351.7#7
6.17#2Yards / Play5.87#5
3.12#4Offensive TDs / Game2.59#12
31:21#6Time of Possession30:01#16
42.9%#63rd-Down Conversion %39.8%#16
17.2%#12Three-and-Out Rate ↓17.6%#13
57.1%#19Red-Zone TD %53.5%#24
0.94#10Turnovers / Game ↓1.53#31
What to Watch

Team Defense

2025 regular season
PatriotsMetricSeahawks
7.47#10DST Fantasy PPG10.47#1
18.8#4Points Allowed / Game ↓17.2#1
295.4#8Yards Allowed / Game ↓286.2#6
5.14#12Yards / Play Allowed ↓4.55#2
2.12#9TDs Allowed / Game ↓1.71#2
38.5%#12Opponent 3rd-Down % ↓32.0%#1
19.4%#14Three-and-Out Rate Forced19.5%#13
67.5%#29Opponent Red-Zone TD % ↓51.9%#6
1.12#18Takeaways / Game1.47#6
2.06#22Sacks / Game2.76#7
6.2%#20Sack Rate7.2%#11
5.06#21QB Hits / Game6.47#3
15.2%#16QB Hit Rate16.9%#9
What to Watch

Quarterback

2025 regular season • 250+ attempts to qualify
Drake Maye
Metric
Sam Darnold
TRADITIONAL STATS
492Pass Attempts477
354Completions323
4394Passing Yards4048
31Passing TDs25
8Interceptions14
103Rush Attempts35
450Rushing Yards95
4Rushing TDs0
EFFICIENCY
72.0%#1Completion %67.7%#7
8.93#1Yards / Attempt8.49#2
113.5#1Passer Rating99.1#11
6.3%#5TD Rate5.2%#9
1.6%#10INT Rate ↓2.9%#29
63.0%#93rd-Down Completion %59.5%#17
40.7%#53rd-Down Conversion %35.8%#16
9.13#2Air Yards / Attempt7.86#17
QB RUSHING
62#1Scrambles14#23
10.3%#1Scramble Rate2.7%#25
6.92#16Yards / Scramble6.36#24
20#9Designed Runs8#21
2.40#12Yards / Designed Run2.38#13
15#510+ Yard QB Runs2#24
2#620+ Yard QB Runs1#13
4Rush TDs0
DEEP PASSING — 20+ AIR YARDS
70#5Deep Attempts53#13
14.2%#4Deep Attempt Rate11.1%#19
35#2Deep Completions28#6
50.0%#3Deep Completion %52.8%#2
1093#2Deep Passing Yards978#4
15.61#4Deep Yards / Attempt18.45#1
7#6Deep TDs7#6
3#21Deep INTs ↓2#15
PROTECTION
8.7%#27Sack Rate ↓5.4%#13
16.3%#23QB Hit Rate ↓11.9%#8
FANTASY PRODUCTION
20.75#3Standard PPG14.32#23
20.75#3Half-PPR PPG14.32#23
20.75#3PPR PPG14.32#23
What to Watch

Drake Maye

Sam Darnold

Running Backs

2025 regular season • 100+ carries to qualify
TreVeyon Henderson
Rhamondre Stevenson
Metric
Jadarian Price
2025: nan
George Holani
NQ
TRADITIONAL STATS
180130Rush AttemptsN/AN/A22
911603Rushing YardsN/AN/A73
97Rushing TDsN/AN/A1
3532ReceptionsN/AN/A2
221345Receiving YardsN/AN/A15
12Receiving TDsN/AN/A0
VOLUME / ROLE
10.59#329.29#39Carries / GameN/AN/A5.50NQ
36.4%#2626.3%#44Rush ShareN/AN/A4.3%NQ
12.65#3211.57#33Touches / GameN/AN/A6.00NQ
66.6#2867.7#27Total Yards / GameN/AN/A22.0NQ
FANTASY PRODUCTION
10.07#2510.20#23Standard PPGN/AN/A3.20NQ
11.10#2311.34#22Half-PPR PPGN/AN/A3.45NQ
12.13#2512.49#23PPR PPGN/AN/A3.70NQ
RUSHING EFFICIENCY
5.06#64.64#16Yards / CarryN/AN/A3.32NQ
53.6#2543.1#36Rush Yards / GameN/AN/A18.2NQ
25.0%#1722.3%#32Rush First-Down %N/AN/A22.7%NQ
EXPLOSIVENESS
18#2615#2810+ Yard RunsN/AN/A0NQ
10.0%#2511.5%#1310+ Yard Run RateN/AN/A0.0%NQ
6#117#920+ Yard RunsN/AN/A0NQ
3.3%#75.4%#320+ Yard Run RateN/AN/A0.0%NQ
69#756#17Longest RunN/AN/A9NQ
RECEIVING
2.47#292.64#26Targets / GameN/AN/A0.50NQ
2.06#272.29#21Receptions / GameN/AN/A0.50NQ
83.3%#1486.5%#8Catch %N/AN/A100.0%NQ
13.0#2824.6#8Receiving Yards / GameN/AN/A3.8NQ
6.31#3710.78#1Yards / ReceptionN/AN/A7.50NQ
6.97#388.22#27YAC / ReceptionN/AN/A8.00NQ
12Receiving TDsN/AN/A0
RED ZONE / GOAL LINE
36#1526#32Red-Zone CarriesN/AN/A5NQ
38.7%#2628.0%#37Red-Zone Carry ShareN/AN/A5.0%NQ
21#1616#25Inside-10 CarriesN/AN/A1NQ
8#3111#19Inside-5 CarriesN/AN/A0NQ
29.6%#4040.7%#23Inside-5 Carry ShareN/AN/A0.0%NQ
97Rushing TDsN/AN/A1
BALL SECURITY
1#123#42Fumbles ↓N/AN/A1NQ
1#223#45Fumbles Lost ↓N/AN/A1NQ
0.000#190.020#48Fumbles / Touch ↓N/AN/A0.040NQ
What to Watch

New England Patriots

Seattle Seahawks

Wide Receivers

2025 regular season • 50+ targets to qualify
A.J. Brown
2025: PHI
Romeo Doubs
2025: GB
Mack Hollins
Metric
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Rashid Shaheed
Cooper Kupp
TRADITIONAL STATS
1218565Targets1639270
785546Receptions1195947
1003724550Receiving Yards1793687593
762Receiving TDs1022
VOLUME / ROLE
8.07#135.31#504.64#57Targets / Game9.59#65.11#524.38#62
26.1%#918.5%#3213.5%#52Target Share35.8%#120.2%#2315.4%#46
5.20#113.44#433.29#47Receptions / Game7.00#33.28#482.94#59
66.9#1245.2#4139.3#50Receiving Yards / Game105.5#238.2#5337.1#55
FANTASY PRODUCTION
9.49#146.78#384.81#57Standard PPG14.17#24.76#584.33#60
12.09#128.49#396.46#54Half-PPR PPG17.67#26.39#575.80#60
14.69#1210.21#408.10#54PPR PPG21.17#28.03#557.27#60
EFFICIENCY
64.5%#3164.7%#2970.8%#12Catch %73.0%#664.1%#3367.1%#23
8.29#298.52#228.46#25Yards / Target11.00#37.47#458.47#24
12.86#3713.16#3411.96#51Yards / Reception15.07#811.64#5612.62#40
60.3%#4274.5%#1460.9%#39Receiving First-Down %66.4%#2849.1%#6755.3%#56
DEPTH / USAGE
11.78#3412.76#1813.09#13Average Depth of Target11.25#4111.45#387.60#71
95.0#1367.8#4060.8#44Air Yards / Game107.8#358.5#4833.2#71
33.8%#1526.5%#3319.0%#53Air-Yard Share50.0%#128.7%#2614.5%#64
22#1115#4012#49Deep Targets (20+)24#519#265#71
18.2%#3417.6%#4118.5%#30Deep Target Rate14.7%#5320.6%#217.1%#76
EXPLOSIVENESS
14#1712#268#4520+ Yard Receptions27#16#568#45
17.9%#4121.8%#2617.4%#4220+ Reception Rate22.7%#2210.2%#7217.0%#43
3.44#482.96#612.35#73YAC / Reception4.44#283.00#586.23#9
SCORING OPPORTUNITY
13#2817#115#71Red-Zone Targets17#119#4912#33
22.0%#1625.4%#87.7%#68Red-Zone Target Share27.0%#614.3%#4919.1%#25
5#328#83#59Inside-10 Targets7#152#674#47
762Receiving TDs1022

New England Patriots

Seattle Seahawks

Tight Ends

2025 regular season • 30+ targets to qualify
Hunter Henry
Julian Hill
2025: MIA
Metric
AJ Barner
Elijah Arroyo
NQ
TRADITIONAL STATS
8720Targets6826
6015Receptions5215
768140Receiving Yards519179
70Receiving TDs61
VOLUME / ROLE
5.12#172.00NQTargets / Game4.00#312.00NQ
18.1%#84.3%NQTarget Share14.9%#165.7%NQ
3.53#191.50NQReceptions / Game3.06#271.15NQ
45.2#1314.0NQReceiving Yards / Game30.5#2813.8NQ
FANTASY PRODUCTION
6.99#111.40NQStandard PPG5.61#221.68NQ
8.75#132.15NQHalf-PPR PPG7.14#222.26NQ
10.52#142.90NQPPR PPG8.66#232.84NQ
EFFICIENCY
69.0%#3975.0%NQCatch %76.5%#1557.7%NQ
8.83#97.00NQYards / Target7.63#226.88NQ
12.80#59.33NQYards / Reception9.98#2911.93NQ
70.0%#240.0%NQReceiving First-Down %50.0%#2846.7%NQ
DEPTH / USAGE
8.16#103.30NQAverage Depth of Target4.37#448.46NQ
41.8#106.6NQAir Yards / Game17.5#4216.9NQ
15.9%#92.0%NQAir-Yard Share8.1%#306.0%NQ
8#50NQDeep Targets (20+)4#185NQ
9.2%#120.0%NQDeep Target Rate5.9%#2219.2%NQ
EXPLOSIVENESS
11#41NQ20+ Yard Receptions3#334NQ
18.3%#96.7%NQ20+ Reception Rate5.8%#4226.7%NQ
5.58#167.40NQYAC / Reception5.21#205.20NQ
SCORING OPPORTUNITY
22#33NQRed-Zone Targets13#125NQ
33.9%#14.7%NQRed-Zone Target Share20.6%#107.9%NQ
10#40NQInside-10 Targets6#113NQ
70Receiving TDs61
What to Watch

New England Patriots

Seattle Seahawks

Kickers

2025 regular season • 10+ FG attempts to qualify
Andy Borregales
Metric
Jason Myers
KICKING
8.76#17Fantasy PPG11.88#2
84.4%#21FG %85.4%#20
59#9Long57#17
4#1950+ FGs Made9#4
100.0%#150+ FG %75.0%#14

Don't Forget About the Legs

Methodology: Team and player statistics use 2025 NFL regular-season play-by-play data. Player qualification thresholds: QB 250+ attempts, RB 100+ carries, WR 50+ targets, TE 30+ targets, K 10+ FG attempts. Current 2026 rosters determine which players appear in the matchup. When a player changed teams, historical shares are calculated against the team he played for in 2025. DST fantasy scoring: sack 1, INT 2, fumble recovery 2, safety 2, blocked kick 2, DST TD 6, plus points-allowed buckets based on opponent final score. Kicker fantasy scoring: XP 1; made FG under 40 yards 3, 40–49 yards 4, 50+ yards 5. Unsupported metrics are not estimated.